Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 10.116138 11.699473 13.395533 15.341384 17.505799 19.833124 22.518410
2025-03-02 7.831016 9.843315 12.137731 14.926667 18.203237 21.908467 26.392047
2025-03-09 6.395086 8.635015 11.327417 14.759432 18.972108 23.927326 30.145906
2025-03-16 5.244234 7.565999 10.494351 14.388448 19.354159 25.394862 33.210798
2025-03-23 4.532389 6.936935 10.100858 14.464380 20.210975 27.399643 36.936441
2025-03-30 3.915686 6.342234 9.665667 14.406967 20.837591 29.086696 40.276203
2025-04-06 3.482533 5.942480 9.436735 14.574834 21.726528 31.103130 44.067183
2025-04-13 3.115978 5.589939 9.227859 14.730570 22.574808 33.065994 47.822997
2025-04-20 2.873582 5.394446 9.218236 15.148420 23.780050 35.524377 52.289499
2025-04-27 2.629592 5.164754 9.129808 15.430369 24.786748 37.727253 56.459256
2025-05-04 2.350417 4.841835 8.864970 15.419733 25.354102 39.322543 59.826468
2025-05-11 1.976266 4.307464 8.215248 14.768267 24.933182 39.493977 61.203208
2025-05-18 1.734537 3.981305 7.877187 14.580301 25.192690 40.642839 63.990707
2025-05-25 1.492664 3.621535 7.447691 14.209752 25.143430 41.327040 66.119908
2025-06-01 1.316047 3.363835 7.168733 14.060161 25.417290 42.478843 68.936467
2025-06-08 1.132840 3.065441 6.787687 13.707761 25.343093 43.095223 70.972894
2025-06-15 1.026946 2.915619 6.663666 13.782663 25.949021 44.744262 74.559376
2025-06-22 0.917134 2.740606 6.475061 13.728165 26.333475 46.056783 77.666852
2025-06-29 0.842605 2.635787 6.411877 13.890024 27.076512 47.936534 81.662942
2025-07-06 0.773934 2.534644 6.346174 14.040041 27.799883 49.798711 85.667756
2025-07-13 0.735088 2.502091 6.416170 14.442324 28.963149 52.379428 90.821366
2025-07-20 0.687353 2.439585 6.417986 14.713805 29.906815 54.629954 95.508819
2025-07-27 0.620513 2.315400 6.277713 14.703573 30.355098 56.092187 98.999267